Category: Uncategorized

  • Bear Market

    Welcome to the bear market. I still occasionally kick myself for not staying in until Dow 14K, but as of late I feel better and better about selling out awhile back. I know that "market timing" is considered to be hocus-pocus but in this case I feel that I was better off with my money out of the market than letting it ride.

    Until things show signs of turning around, I’m just going to quietly sit and let my automatic investments continue to accumulate, and not worry too much about day-to-day fluctuations.

  • The Gawker Media Style Guide

    Succinct, and hilarious. It actually applies to pretty much all Web-exclusive content, unfortunately.

    Sprinkle in useless metaphors and orthogonal pop-cultural references.

    This is pretty much why I don’t really like Bill Simmons’ writing very much — it feels like he’s just following a recipe for writing, and useless metaphors and/or movie references are his punchline setups.

  • Tooth and Nail

    I’ve had some not-so-smooth experiences with rebates lately, which are reinforcing my habit of actually keeping information about rebate submission and checking up on them when I invariably don’t receive them.

    First of all, my cell phone recycling rebate didn’t come within the allotted amount of time. I called Sprint, who told me that I needed to call the (separate) company that ran the program. I called them, and they claimed that I needed to specially request a rebate check since I was no longer a customer — in spite of the fact that the rebate flyer, in no uncertain terms, said that I didn’t need to do anything special if I was no longer a customer. Ridiculous. On top of that, they told me to expect a check "in 4-8 weeks," which, if I were a cartoon character, would have precipitated steam coming out of my ears. Fortunately for my blood pressure, the rebate actually came within two weeks, and was quickly deposited before any further mischief could take place.

    Second, as an owner of the now-orphaned HD-DVD add-on for the 360, I was entitled to a $50 Best Buy gift card, which, again, was alleged to have been sent without any action necessary on my part. I called them this morning to investigate the whereabouts of my gift card, and, on my first attempt, was redirected to a recorded message repeating the details of the program (which was linked earlier in this paragraph). After the recording played, it disconnected me, and I had to call back (and endure another 10 minute wait on hold) to talk to a human being who might actually be able to help me. I stressed that I already knew the details of the program, and that no action was, in theory, necessary on my part, but that their infallible system had somehow neglected to throw some crumbs my way. This got me another 10 minute wait, followed by a conversation with an extremely helpful representative (not being sarcastic), who noted that the gift card had never been sent, because "it says you needed to verify your address." As in the case with the Sprint rebate, I was initially informed that, because they already had my information on file through their rewards program, that no action was needed from me to receive the gift card. I am now expecting the gift card "within 4 weeks."

    I have started setting up Outlook appointments for myself to check up on rebate-related matters — it’s ridiculous that I need to go to these lengths, and I suspect that there may be grounds for lawsuits out there (particularly since similar shenanigans are easy profit), but unless rebate administrators shape up their act, I’d rather be paranoid than never get the rebate that is rightfully mine.

    Oh, bonus rebate-related insanity: Fry’s no longer gives you a rebate form with your receipt — instead, they make you go to a web site and print it out yourself! This is such a ridiculous penny-pinching maneuver — they should be ashamed of themselves.

  • The NBA Donaghy scandal grows…

    Read this TrueHoop blog entry, which is an interview with a professional NBA gambler. The Tim Donaghy scandal has gotten pretty interesting over the last couple of days, with public allegations of game-fixing (including the playoffs) coming from the "rogue referee" camp. The timing of this, during the NBA Finals, is, naturally, very embarrassing to the NBA. It’s a very difficult situation for them to handle — if the series goes long, say, the full seven games, it will provide another week and a half of damaging media coverage, plus skepticism about the length of the series being the fault of the officiating. Their best hope, in terms of squashing the story quickly, may be to drop the restitution demand on Donaghy (in return for some sort of retraction), and to hope for a short Finals.

    The article also brings up the idea of sabermetrics being used as a tool to "beat the odds" in sports betting. This is not such a far-fetched idea — the oddsmakers aren’t really trying to predict the winners of each game, but rather the handicap that will produce as even a betting spread as possible, to maximize the bookie’s take. Sabermetrics, as an aid to sports betting, would be used to find an edge where the odds set are influenced by "inefficient" or human factors — strong public favor for one team, misleading statistics or hot streaks, etc. — and I could believe that there is likely some exploitable edge there.

    I find it interesting that Voulgaris’s NBA betting focuses mainly on the points over-under, and that his analysis (at least according to the article) seems heavily weighted towards defensive matchups and offensive efficiency (in terms of possessions). My guess, not having looked into basketball statistical analysis, is that the overall effect of team defense on total score is more predictable than the effects of star players (who may drastically outperform their averages) on the outcome of a game.

  • A Haiku

    The hot and dry winds
    Cover my car in fine dust
    Washing is pointless

  • Fire Joe Morgan

    The name reminds me of Fire Pro Wrestling, but Fire Joe Morgan is actually a site whose focus is tearing apart shoddy baseball writing and reporting. The authors are of the sabermetric school of baseball thought (that is, guided by objective statistical analysis), and bristle at constantly being stereotyped by the old guard as stats nerds living in their parents’ basement. Joe Morgan is not their only target, mind you — he just happened to be a convenient way to make a catchy site name.

    Even though my love for baseball has waned considerably in the last few years, I still find reading the site hilarious. If you have any inkling about sabermetrics, or just like to read cranky people ripping on stuff, definitely check it out.

  • NCAA Update

    I won my Yahoo bracket handily, picking 46 out of 63 games correctly. I only had two mistakes in the regional finals, and from that point onwards, my picks were on the money.

    This is a nice change from last year, when I did much worse. I find it interesting that the highest scoring brackets (all 5 of them) only racked up 175 points in total. This makes the million-dollar prize for picking all the winners correctly seem, in hindsight, a rather safe bet for Yahoo to make.

  • This Happened At My Old Workplace

    The building sits right next to a freeway, protected only by a chain-link fence. The rear entrances to the building are connected to the parking lot by walkways that parallel the freeway. We would often speculate about the prospect of a car breaking through the fence and smashing into the building, which is part of the reason why I stopped using that exit and instead went out the front. Well, apparently today a car did bust through the fence, and was stopped only by the noble sacrifice of a nearby tree.  Pretty crazy.

  • Mortgage/Credit/Insurance Crisis in Brief

    Check out this highly amusing PowerPoint presentation. You’ll have to click through to see each subsequent slide.

  • Awkward Sports Writing: Exhibit A

    While filling out my Yahoo NCAA bracket, I came across the following passage describing USC:

    Trojans, led by dynamite freshman O.J. Mayo (20.8 ppg), have driven short swords into opponent’s torsos on defense – 12th-most efficienct defense in D1